Provisional Municipality Anomaly Rankings
Municipalities ranked by provisional cross-sectional anomaly score (0–100) using non-overlapping change categories and evidence dampening.
Provisional Assessment Notice: Scores currently evaluate cross-sectional roll activity within the single available snapshot. Historical deviation, voter delta, and period reconciliation do not yet contribute and will activate when sequential snapshots are collected.
| Rank | Municipality | Registered Voters | Score | Severity | Signal Breakdown & Explanation | New Res / 1k | Additions / 1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | BEOGRAD-ZVEZDARA | 164,489 | 59.9 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +35.7 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +9.8 pts
Removals Activity: +14.4 pts
|
0.63 | 0.80 |
| #2 | BEOGRAD-SOPOT | 17,374 | 59.8 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +37.6 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +4.7 pts
Removals Activity: +17.5 pts
|
0.75 | 0.98 |
| #3 | BEOGRAD-ČUKARICA | 163,225 | 58.8 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +27.5 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +19.4 pts
Removals Activity: +11.9 pts
|
0.33 | 0.64 |
| #4 | INĐIJA | 40,579 | 58.2 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +29.0 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +20.2 pts
Removals Activity: +9.0 pts
|
0.34 | 0.67 |
| #5 | SRBOBRAN | 13,072 | 58.1 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +39.1 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +3.5 pts
Removals Activity: +15.5 pts
|
0.92 | 1.15 |
| #6 | BEOGRAD-STARI GRAD | 52,917 | 57.3 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +37.2 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +5.8 pts
Removals Activity: +14.3 pts
|
0.72 | 0.87 |
| #7 | STARA PAZOVA | 57,067 | 57.1 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +36.8 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +12.8 pts
Removals Activity: +7.5 pts
|
0.68 | 0.89 |
| #8 | BEOGRAD-RAKOVICA | 99,040 | 57.0 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +30.7 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +10.8 pts
Removals Activity: +15.5 pts
|
0.39 | 0.59 |
| #9 | BEOGRAD-NOVI BEOGRAD | 202,239 | 56.8 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +29.2 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +15.0 pts
Removals Activity: +12.6 pts
|
0.35 | 0.60 |
| #10 | BEOGRAD-ZEMUN | 171,236 | 56.4 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +31.5 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +16.7 pts
Removals Activity: +8.2 pts
|
0.43 | 0.69 |
| #11 | PARAĆIN | 45,564 | 56.0 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +25.2 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +16.2 pts
Removals Activity: +14.6 pts
|
0.29 | 0.55 |
| #12 | KRUŠEVAC - GRAD | 103,726 | 55.7 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +24.4 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +21.3 pts
Removals Activity: +10.0 pts
|
0.28 | 0.64 |
| #13 | PREŠEVO | 44,508 | 55.3 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +28.4 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +18.4 pts
Removals Activity: +1.0 pts
Additions vs Removals Inflow Imbalance: +7.5 pts
|
0.34 | 0.63 |
| #14 | POŽAREVAC | 56,926 | 54.6 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +26.9 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +18.9 pts
Removals Activity: +8.8 pts
|
0.32 | 0.61 |
| #15 | BEOGRAD-OBRENOVAC | 64,337 | 53.8 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +30.9 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +16.3 pts
Removals Activity: +6.6 pts
|
0.40 | 0.67 |
| #16 | BEOGRAD-VRAČAR | 62,909 | 53.8 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +33.2 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +5.2 pts
Removals Activity: +15.4 pts
|
0.51 | 0.64 |
| #17 | RAŠKA | 19,626 | 53.7 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +39.3 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +0.5 pts
Removals Activity: +13.9 pts
|
1.22 | 1.22 |
| #18 | BEOGRAD-SAVSKI VENAC | 41,242 | 53.6 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +37.0 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +1.9 pts
Removals Activity: +14.7 pts
|
0.70 | 0.80 |
| #19 | PANČEVO - GRAD | 106,363 | 52.0 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +25.0 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +19.3 pts
Removals Activity: +7.7 pts
|
0.28 | 0.58 |
| #20 | KOVIN | 27,165 | 51.5 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +32.1 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +4.3 pts
Removals Activity: +15.1 pts
|
0.44 | 0.63 |
| #21 | KRAGUJEVAC - GRAD | 152,850 | 50.0 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +26.7 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +19.8 pts
Removals Activity: +3.5 pts
|
0.31 | 0.62 |
| #22 | KRALJEVO - GRAD | 97,925 | 49.9 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +20.2 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +19.6 pts
Removals Activity: +10.1 pts
|
0.20 | 0.51 |
| #23 | ZVEČAN | 5,482 | 49.5 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +32.9 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +2.0 pts
Removals Activity: +14.6 pts
|
1.82 | 2.01 |
| #24 | ČAJETINA | 14,579 | 47.3 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +38.8 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +1.6 pts
Removals Activity: +6.9 pts
|
0.89 | 1.03 |
| #25 | RUMA | 45,292 | 47.1 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +25.4 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +13.3 pts
Removals Activity: +8.4 pts
|
0.29 | 0.53 |
| #26 | BEOGRAD-LAZAREVAC | 49,669 | 46.2 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +23.1 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +17.7 pts
Removals Activity: +5.4 pts
|
0.26 | 0.54 |
| #27 | ČAČAK - GRAD | 93,790 | 45.4 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +15.8 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +18.3 pts
Removals Activity: +11.3 pts
|
0.17 | 0.46 |
| #28 | ŠABAC - GRAD | 99,005 | 45.1 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +30.1 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +9.5 pts
Removals Activity: +5.5 pts
|
0.37 | 0.55 |
| #29 | SOMBOR - GRAD | 69,681 | 45.1 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +18.1 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +20.0 pts
Removals Activity: +7.0 pts
|
0.19 | 0.50 |
| #30 | NIŠ-CRVENI KRST | 29,310 | 44.6 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +24.0 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +14.8 pts
Removals Activity: +5.8 pts
|
0.34 | 0.65 |
| #31 | BEOGRAD-MLADENOVAC | 45,252 | 44.4 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +25.7 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +8.8 pts
Removals Activity: +9.9 pts
|
0.29 | 0.49 |
| #32 | SREMSKA MITROVICA - GRAD | 67,952 | 43.9 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +18.3 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +17.3 pts
Removals Activity: +8.3 pts
|
0.19 | 0.47 |
| #33 | LESKOVAC - GRAD | 112,217 | 43.8 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +20.4 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +15.5 pts
Removals Activity: +7.9 pts
|
0.20 | 0.46 |
| #34 | LEPOSAVIĆ | 8,868 | 41.8 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +14.4 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +7.5 pts
Removals Activity: +19.9 pts
|
0.56 | 1.01 |
| #35 | NOVI PAZAR - GRAD | 94,880 | 41.6 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +14.1 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +22.8 pts
Removals Activity: +4.7 pts
|
0.15 | 0.63 |
| #36 | SURDULICA | 16,104 | 41.3 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +4.5 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +18.2 pts
Removals Activity: +18.6 pts
|
0.19 | 0.75 |
| #37 | BAČKA PALANKA | 44,415 | 40.7 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +23.8 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +11.3 pts
Removals Activity: +5.6 pts
|
0.27 | 0.50 |
| #38 | UŽICE - GRAD | 56,796 | 40.6 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +24.8 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +5.6 pts
Removals Activity: +10.2 pts
|
0.28 | 0.42 |
| #39 | VLADIČIN HAN | 15,846 | 40.3 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +7.4 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +15.6 pts
Removals Activity: +17.3 pts
|
0.25 | 0.76 |
| #40 | VALJEVO - GRAD | 74,240 | 40.2 | WATCH |
Residence Registrations: +6.9 pts
Other Additions (excl. Residence): +18.8 pts
Removals Activity: +14.5 pts
|
0.11 | 0.40 |